Photo: flickr Writer: Eric Daniel
It’s been a tough run for South Florida in the AAC this season as the Bulls stand 6-13 overall and 0-8 in conference. South Florida isn’t getting any respect from Vegas with this spread as all of their conference defeats have come by a lesser margin than this spread. USF has had their fair share of blowouts, but they’ve also been competitive in some of their defeats in league play. In some of their tougher road matchups USF fell at Memphis by 6 points and at SMU by 19. South Florida doesn’t mind playing at a slower pace and that’ll boost their chances at scoring a spread of this magnitude.
Cincinnati is coming off a huge 86-78 win at home against heated rival Xavier and it’ll be interesting to see how the Bearcats refocus for this one coming off the emotion victory. This has trap game written all over it for the Bearcats, but losing to the Bulls doesn’t seem likely, even though the game could be closer than expected. Cincinnati has been the top performers in the AAC standing 18-2 overall and 7-0 in conference. The Bearcats are one of the best defensive teams in the nation ranking 14th in the country in points allowed, but this group can also light up the scoreboard standing 86th in scoring average.
South Florida is highly likely to come up short for their 9th straight time in conference this season, but Vegas is spotting the Bulls a tremendous amount of points to give them the shot at the cover. Even though we like Cincinnati to get the win, this is too many points to pass up on taking the Bulls as a solid value play.
South Florida +25 -110